hotair.com opines:
The move threatens to bring the US into open conflict with Chavez for the first time. We have allied ourselves with the Colombian government to eradicate narco-traffickers as well as to help them eliminate the threat from FARC. The terrorist group still holds Americans, having kidnapped them years ago after a plane crash in territory under their control.
We saw a hint of this six weeks ago. Chavez demanded that Latin American nations recognize FARC (as well as a few other terrorist groups) as “legitimate armies†despite their track record of kidnapping and drug trafficking. As the Washington Post noted, even allies of Chavez balked at that notion. Now it looks as though Chavez will take Venezuela to war to support these terrorists, hoping to undermine President Alvaro Uribe and the democratic government in Colombia.
He’s taking his first steps to making himself a menace to the entire hemisphere rather than just to the Venezuelans.
If those battalions move across the border, Chavez had better expect a volley of cruise missiles at his command and control centers. The US will not allow Chavez to topple the elected government in Colombia. It would probably provide the only possible reason Washington would use military force against Chavez, and even this skeptical Congress would have little choice but to support the defense of an American ally under attack from a hostile nation.
I'm not sure Chavez is willing to test too much by crossing the border.
The one MAIN variable is congress--our very liberal congress beholden to the Code: Pinko types. If Chavez feels the congress will not allow Bush a new war he has nothing to lose trying. He's definitely watching CNN right now waiting to see what the dems say about this. He may even push a bit more just to see.
If nothing happens he will be emboldened. To bolster FARC, snatch them a safe haven under his protection and boost his anti-US credentials must be stronger narcotics than the coco leaves he chews. I think the greatest deterent to open war would be the dems telling him the US will defend Columbian territory.
But then that becomes a propaganda coup for him unless the international community tells him, "ditto, bitch."