The island dwellers find something to be conserned about.
no_hypocrisy (1000+ posts) Wed Jul-13-11 10:30 PM
Original message
How Bachmann Could Win
Edited on Wed Jul-13-11 10:31 PM by no_hypocrisy
Romney is clearly the front-runner for the GOP nomination. But as Michael Tomasky notes, Bachmann’s fundraising prowess places her at the head of the anti-Romney pack.
If you’re not yet taking Michele Bachmann’s candidacy seriously, this may be the week to start. Two polls have arrived show her leading in Iowa, and digging deeper into the numbers—looking at highly motivated caucus-goers, for example—suggests that her lead is even larger than the polls indicate. And then there are her fundraising numbers, which she’ll probably announce this Friday. She won’t beat Mitt Romney, who already announced an $18.5 million take. But she may well announce $7 or $8 million, which would put her well ahead of the rest of the field. It’s all teeing up. Or “teaâ€-ing up. Depending on which way history’s winds are blowing next spring, Bachmann could very well win the nomination.
First let’s dispense with the mechanics. The non-Romneys have all raised in the range of $4 million or so. That’s awfully small potatoes (remember that Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama raised $25 and $30 million, respectively, in the same quarter of 2007). Bachmann has always been strong on money. She was in fact the top fundraiser in the House last year among Republicans, hauling in $13.5 million for what initially looked to be a tough race. As was true of Obama in 2007-08, she gets most of her money (far more than he did, in fact) from small donors, with an average donation of $619.34, suggesting the presence of a large army of people out there who have the money and will to write her one, two, three, or more $500 checks as the nominating process goes on. That will sustain her through the early contests, perhaps even through a loss or two. Assuming she delivers on these apparent quasi-leaks and reports a number in the range of $7 to $8 million, she becomes the clear number two in the field.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=439x1485849This happened quite quickly.
pnwmom (1000+ posts) Wed Jul-13-11 11:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Or the election could be stolen.
Or maybe Nader will decide that this is the perfect time to run again.
Not that that's ever happened.
Diebold is on our side.
ProudToBeBlueInRhody (1000+ posts) Wed Jul-13-11 10:44 PM
Response to Original message
4. I hope she's the GOP pick
Obama won't even have to campaign.
Here, drink some more Koolaid.
pnwmom (1000+ posts) Wed Jul-13-11 11:02 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. You remember that when she wins.
You don't think an election could be stolen?
Or that a third party person such as Nader couldn't jump in to siphon votes from Obama?
What, again? Nobody take the bait, the first time?
Oops, a nibble.
ProudToBeBlueInRhody (1000+ posts) Wed Jul-13-11 11:28 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. An election could be stolen with a legit looking candidate like Romney
She is not legit.
You keep thinking that, stringofletters.
pnwmom (1000+ posts) Thu Jul-14-11 01:47 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. Complacency is our worst enemy. n/t
Stupidity is your forte.
TlalocW (1000+ posts) Thu Jul-14-11 12:07 AM
Response to Original message
9. It doesn't matter - Perry is going to jump in
>snip<
Who? The Texas guy?
GreenStormCloud (1000+ posts) Thu Jul-14-11 01:42 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. Don't underestimate Perry.
>snip
You're a DUmbass, you don't understand much of anything.
Poopsnout drops in.
Snoutport (1000+ posts) Thu Jul-14-11 01:56 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. +1 Perry and Bachmann is a scary combo
The governor of Texas and a white dudette scare poopsnout.
eridani (1000+ posts) Thu Jul-14-11 02:02 AM
Response to Original message
14. IF the economy seriously tanks, a totally unqualified asshole could beat Obama
It isn't clear yet whether that will happen or not.
You mean like a community organizer??
