Dem Turnout Falls Off A Cliff

[Chris]

Turnout among Dem voters dropped precipitously in 3 statewide primaries on Tuesday, giving the party more evidence that their voters lack enthusiasm ahead of midterm elections.

Just 663K OH voters cast ballots in the competitive primary between LG Lee Fisher (D) and Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D). That number is lower than the 872K voters who turned out in '06, when neither Gov. Ted Strickland (D) nor Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) faced primary opponents.

Only 425K voters turned out to pick a nominee against Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC). The 14.4% turnout was smaller than the 444K voters -- or 18% of all registered Dem voters -- who turned out in '04, when Gov. Mike Easley (D) faced only a gadfly candidate in his bid to be renominated for a second term.

And in IN, just 204K Hoosiers voted for Dem House candidates, far fewer than the 357K who turned out in '02 and the 304K who turned out in '06.

By contrast, GOP turnout was up almost across the board. 373K people voted in Burr's uncompetitive primary, nearly 9% higher than the 343K who voted in the equally non-competitive primary in '04. Turnout in House races in IN rose 14.6% from '06, fueled by the competitive Senate primary, which attracted 550K voters. And 728K voters cast ballots for a GOP Sec/State nominee in Ohio, the highest-ranking statewide election with a primary; in '06, just 444K voters cast ballots in that race.

(more...)

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/05/dem_turnout_fal.php

[thundley4]

This coincides with several polls show Dim enthusiasm is also trailing GOP enthusiasm.

[Lacarnut]

I look for Repubs to pick up between 50 to 100 House seats and 8 to 10 Senate seats. If the economy and employment do not improve, it may be worse than that.

[cavegal]

Good I hope it continues. The less they turn out to vote the better.

[BlueStateSaint]

I look for Repubs to pick up between 50 to 100 House seats and 8 to 10 Senate seats. If the economy and employment do not improve, it may be worse than that.

I've put the O/Us at 10.5 for the Senate and 114.5 for the House.  I'd take the "over" in both.

[SSG Snuggle Bunny]

Dammit!

I thought you said, "Dems Turnout and Fall Off A Cliff"

[The Village Idiot]

Dammit!

I thought you said, "Dems Turnout and Fall Off A Cliff"

we can dream

[DumbAss Tanker]

If the shoe was on the other foot, I'd be just as under-enthused as they are now.  In fact I pretty much was that way about McCain, until he picked Palin as a VP.

[Lacarnut]

I've put the O/Us at 10.5 for the Senate and 114.5 for the House.  I'd take the "over" in both.

If the odds makers lowball the House races in the 30 to 40 range, I might go to Vegas.

[Ptarmigan]

I look for Repubs to pick up between 50 to 100 House seats and 8 to 10 Senate seats. If the economy and employment do not improve, it may be worse than that.

I think the Republicans will edge out over the Democrats, economy or not. 1994 came out of a recession and the Democrats still lost. Frankly, I don't see the economy improving anytime soon.

[Lacarnut]

I think the Republicans will edge out over the Democrats, economy or not. 1994 came out of a recession and the Democrats still lost. Frankly, I don't see the economy improving anytime soon.

Between health care and higher taxes, the odds on an increase in the job market and the economy is slim to none.

[thundley4]

Between health care and higher taxes, the odds on an increase in the job market and the economy is slim to none.

I can see the administration fudging the numbers on unemployment for several months preceding the election to make them look better.  Then late in November, they'll issue the customary corrections showing how bad things really are.

[DefiantSix]

I can see the administration fudging the numbers on unemployment for several months preceding the election to make them look better.  Then late in November, they'll issue the customary corrections showing how bad things really are.

They've been doing that for at least 6 months already: altering what the meaning of "is" is to suit their needs of the moment.