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Current Events => Archives => Politics => Election 2010 => Topic started by: Eupher on December 31, 2009, 05:14:50 PM

Title: Rothenburg's Dangerous House Seats for 2010
Post by: Eupher on December 31, 2009, 05:14:50 PM
By Stuart Rothenberg

Regular readers of this column know that I’ve been rating the most vulnerable House seats — open and incumbent — for years. It’s that time again, and since there aren’t yet enough competitive open seats to rate by themselves, this list includes the dozen most vulnerable seats in the House.

There are two caveats that go with the list. First, there are strong arguments for including at least half a dozen other districts on the list. So, not being on this list doesn’t mean a contest is not extremely competitive. Second, since the midterm elections are still almost a year off, this list is likely to change significantly before November.

End quote.

The article goes on to address the following House seats:

Louisiana's 2nd.
Delaware's At-Large
Louisiana's 3rd.
Virginia's 5th.
Maryland's 1st.
Kansas' 3rd.
Ohio's 1st.
Ohio's 15th.
Florida's 8th.
New Mexico's 2nd.
New Hampshire's 2nd.
NY's 23rd.

Interesting analysis about Louisiana's Cao, the surprising Republican winner in the Big Easy's 2nd District. And the other stuff ain't bad either.

Rothenburg Political Report (http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2009/12/rothenbergs-dangerous-dozen-house-seats.html)