Hurricane Ike Live Thread -- Texas Area CC Members Check in With Us

[Texacon]

The prediction is for 50-60 MPH winds and about 6" of rain for Casa de Undies tomorrow.  I pray for my BIG tree, my new roof, and my elderly fences.  I trust the power will be out,  We'll see. 

I live in a 500 year flood plain.  The last flood was around 1835.  I'm good for another 327 years.     

I hope you don't lose your BIG tree LU!  The roof on the other hand .... my roof is 3 years old thanks to Rita, I think it is time for a new roof!  LOL  Just kidding.  I hope we don't get much damage.

KC

[Willow]

I was listenting to one of those live streams and I heard Geraldo say that the mayor of Gavleston said 40% of the residents had chosen to stay on the island. That is 30,000 people.

I can't believe that.  20% of them will die.

he may have exaggerated Galveston Island, I hope so here is a link to Fox News
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,421742,00.html

[miskie]

good luck to all of you in the path of the storm - Prayers and best wishes.

[Wretched Excess]

the latest satellite image:

[Lord Undies]

the latest satellite image:

That puts it 3/8ths of an inch from my house!

[Hawkgirl]

Seems like the dirty part of the storm is south of the eye....and the entire state of LA is going to be consumed by this storm...

[Wretched Excess]

Seems like the dirty part of the storm is south of the eye....and the entire state of LA is going to be consumed by this storm...

that's just the strongest rain.  the worst part of any hurricane is in the northeast quadrant.  you can't always see it on radar, but galveston bay is going to eat all of it.

[Hawkgirl]

Seems like the dirty part of the storm is south of the eye....and the entire state of LA is going to be consumed by this storm...

that's just the strongest rain.  the worst part of any hurricane is in the northeast quadrant.  you can't always see it on radar, but galveston bay is going to eat all of it.

I just read an article on how people in some of the coastal area around that are going to RIDE IT OUT....The police gave them a black marker and said, fine, right your name on your arm so we'll be able to identify your body after the storm....and some still stayed.

[Texacon]

Its been about an hour since I took those pictures and it doesn't look much different here at this point.  I don't really expect much until late, late tonight.

I finally found the link at the top of the forum page too!  LOL  Someone should have told me it was BRIGHT RED! 

KC

[Wretched Excess]

Seems like the dirty part of the storm is south of the eye....and the entire state of LA is going to be consumed by this storm...

that's just the strongest rain.  the worst part of any hurricane is in the northeast quadrant.  you can't always see it on radar, but galveston bay is going to eat all of it.

I just read an article on how people in some of the coastal area around that are going to RIDE IT OUT....The police gave them a black marker and said, fine, right your name on your arm so we'll be able to identify your body after the storm....and some still stayed.

they collected victims of katrina hurricane parties in LA and MS for weeks.  some people are just to stupid to live very long.

[Odin's Hand]

They are saying wide-spread power outages are possible as far north as Henderson and Gregg counties just overnight.

[Wretched Excess]

the storm jumped a bit more north if the forecast track on the 8PM bulletin . . . this could be good news for
galveston bay, although it is already very close to shore . . . .

[Ptarmigan]

Right now Ike is a Category 2 with 110 mph winds. I would not be surprised if it becomes a major hurricane.

000
WTNT34 KNHC 122255
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  47A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
600 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...IKE STRENGTHENS SOME AS IT BEARS DOWN ON GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE
UPPER TEXAS COAST...
...RISING WATER LEVELS AND BATTERING WAVES AFFECTING THE AREA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 600 PM CDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 105 MILES
...170 KM...SOUTH OF BEAUMONT TEXAS.

IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/HR. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATER THIS EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE IKE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY
THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN STRONGER
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET
IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN
USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE
CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST
SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 600 PM CDT POSITION...28.2 N...93.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/122255.shtml

[Hawkgirl]

Good site I use.

http://www.stormpulse.com/

[Wretched Excess]

here is the jog to the north:

[Wretched Excess]

with any luck, it will hit north of galveston bay . . .

[Wretched Excess]

this movement to the north could be the beginnings of the curl to the north that the models
have predicted.  I hope that this is the case.

and no, I have nothing to back that up, other than my "hunch".

[Odin's Hand]

this movement to the north could be the beginnings of the curl to the north that the models
have predicted.  I hope that this is the case.

and no, I have nothing to back that up, other than my "hunch".

The jet stream trough is moving eastwardly faster than forecasted. It'l' be good for shear and keeping it away from downtown Houston and Galveston Bay.

[Wretched Excess]

i don't think it will nail galveston bay.  I think it will hit at least a few miles north, and just enough to
spare galveston bay a disaster.

now, for the towns and cities in extreme north coastal texas, and even LA . . .

[SaintLouieWoman]

Seems like the dirty part of the storm is south of the eye....and the entire state of LA is going to be consumed by this storm...

that's just the strongest rain.  the worst part of any hurricane is in the northeast quadrant.  you can't always see it on radar, but galveston bay is going to eat all of it.

I just read an article on how people in some of the coastal area around that are going to RIDE IT OUT....The police gave them a black marker and said, fine, right your name on your arm so we'll be able to identify your body after the storm....and some still stayed.

they collected victims of katrina hurricane parties in LA and MS for weeks.  some people are just to stupid to live very long.

Talk about stupid. Geraldo is standing on the seawall now, along with brother Craig. He's talking about how he was hit by a piece of debris. I hate to admit it, but the evil part of me would love to see him go floating away. Bye Bye Geraldo.

Now he's too stupid to live long.

[Wretched Excess]

the winds are a mere 110.

[Servonaut]

Checking in...I am currently sitting in the The Woodlands Waterway Marriott.
They shut down our office building downtown and moved OPS to the Conroe bunker.

It's a very nice hotel.  I went out to have a smoke earlier, It's getting a tad windy outside. 

[Texacon]

Checking in...I am currently sitting in the The Woodlands Waterway Marriott.
They shut down our office building downtown and moved OPS to the Conroe bunker.

It's a very nice hotel.  I went out to have a smoke earlier, It's getting a tad windy outside. 

We are starting to get some wind bands here as well.  Our electricity is flickering a little bit once in awhile ..... could be an interesting night.

KC

[Chris_]

Checking in...I am currently sitting in the The Woodlands Waterway Marriott.
They shut down our office building downtown and moved OPS to the Conroe bunker.

It's a very nice hotel.  I went out to have a smoke earlier, It's getting a tad windy outside.  :-)

Stay safe you knucklehead!!!!!

:)

[Willow]

Fox is reporting widespread flooding in SW Louisiana, almost all the way to New Orleans. Now that will be bad as well.