Poll Roundup : Angle tied, Murkowski Catches Miller, Republican ahead in WVA

[Wretched Excess]

the WVA poll is a big story.  flipping the dead klansman's seat would be a major coup.  the rest is a mixed bag. 

sharron angle needs to pound doddering harry reid flat over blowing town without extending the tax cuts.  it's cowardly, first of all, and it amounts to tax increase on every american;  they simply won't convince me that their secret plan isn't to jack everyone's tax rate through the roof in the lame duck session. 

and murkowski doesn't really scare me too terribly much.  a write in candidate has a major hill to climb.

West Virginia Senate: Raese (R) Eases Ahead of Manchin (D)

Republican John Raese has edged ahead of West Virginia’s popular Democratic Governor Joe Manchin for the first time in the state’s special U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely West Virginia Voters finds Raese earning 48% support to Manchin’s 46% when leaners are included. Two percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

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Rasmussen: Reid and Angle still tied in race for Nevada’s Senate seat
A telephone survey of 750 likely voters conducted Tuesday reveals a statistical tie between Republican candidate Sharron Angle, with 47 percent, and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, with 48 percent.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll indicates that 4 percent would choose another candidate in the race, and 1 percent are undecided. The 48 to 47 results include "leaners," who are undecided but say they are "leaning" one way or the other, pollsters said.

Two weeks ago, Reid and Angle were tied at 48 percent apiece, pollsters said.

Ninety-three percent of Reid's supporters say they are certain how they will vote in November, while 88 percent of Angle supporters say the same, pollsters said.

The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points, with a 95 percent level of confidence, according to pollsters.

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Murkowski Makes It a Race in Alaska

Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s write-in campaign against her party’s nominee has turned Alaska’s Senate race into a dead heat, according to a CNN/Time survey of likely voters.

The poll, conducted by Opinion Research Corp., shows GOP nominee Joe Miller with 38%, Murkowski, 36% and Democrat Scott McAdams trailing with 22%. The margin of error is three percentage points.

Miller, a lawyer with endorsements from tea party activists and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, defeated Murkowski in the August Republican primary. Weeks later, Murkowski, appointed to the Senate in 2002 by her father, former Gov. Frank Murkowski, announced a write-in bid despite warnings from party leaders that it could throw the seat to the Democrats. McAdams, the mayor of Sitka, is little-known in the state and has just launched an ad campaign to introduce himself to voters.

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[DumbAss Tanker]

It's easy to say you like a write-in candidate in a poll that contacts you, people actually taking the initiative to write it in on election day is whole different thing.

[Wretched Excess]

It's easy to say you like a write-in candidate in a poll that contacts you, people actually taking the initiative to write it in on election day is whole different thing.

yep, a write in candidacy is a massive long shot.

while miller is infinitely preferable to murkowski, the larger danger isn't that she wins, it's that she draws enough votes away from miller that the democrat wins.

[JohnnyReb]

yep, a write in candidacy is a massive long shot.

while miller is infinitely preferable to murkowski, the larger danger isn't that she wins, it's that she draws enough votes away from miller that the democrat wins.

Yeah, Ross Perot gave us Clinton..........twice.

[Wretched Excess]

rasmussen has rossi up 1 in WA after the momentum seemed to be in murray's favor.  I assume that refusing to address the tax issue before the mid-terms has something to do with this.  people can spot spineless when they see it.

Washington Senate: Rossi (R), Murray (D) Are Tied Again

Incumbent Democratic Senator Patty Murray and Republican challenger Dino Rossi are back to a virtual tie in Washington’s race for U.S. Senate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Rossi picking up 48% support, while Murray earns 47% of the vote when leaners are included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race now moves back to a Toss-Up from Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

Two weeks ago, Murray moved to a modest 51% to 46% lead over Rossi when leaners were part of the totals. In 10 previous surveys from January through August, the candidates have been within two points of each other seven times. Murray's support has ranged from 45% to 50%, while Rossi has picked up 46% to 49% of the vote.

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[miskie]

Polls all over the place are looking really, really good - almost to the point of unbelievably so. Whatever keeps the enthusiasm gap nice and wide makes me happy.