Cali-locked-down-fornia experienced the same December-January surge as every state, regardless of degree of lock-down. Regardless of the combination of the surge causes (Hello! Weather! "Covid Season"), Goobernor Noisome's lock-down did not prevent California being hit as badly or worse than other states.
Goobernor Noisome's November lock-down accomplished nothing. My opinion - I am not in any medical field - is that being tighter than many/most states in the spring and summer may have had the unintended effect of a larger unexposed population in fall and winter. Infected is infected, I get that, but fall-winter is hospitals' busy season in ordinary years. My opinion is that being tight in the summer worsened the fall-winter surge, resulting in the 2-3 weeks when CA hospitals experienced an overflow of patients (all patients and Covid patients).
I don't think I've commented here on the Noisome recall. The Magic Number is ~1.5 million valid signatures on petitions. California reality, for decades, is that signatures are checked and verified, and enough invalid signatures are tossed out that to be safe the recall people need at least 2.2M-2.5M signatures. Let me repeat to be clear, this has been the norm in California for decades, not any political party playing signature verification games. The recall people are well aware of this and have set their signature goal accordingly. From the news reports I've heard and given the March 17th deadline, I think the chances Noisome will face a recall election.
If there will be a recall election, the way things will work is that it will be a special election, probably in June, possibly in November of 2021. Californians will have two choices. The first is whether Noisome is thrown out of office. The second choice will be a slate of candidates to select a replacement if Noisome is thrown out.
