TD5 In Gulf of Mexico

[Ptarmigan]

000
WTNT25 KNHC 032031
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052008
2100 UTC SUN AUG 03 2008

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE LOUISIANA COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  88.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  88.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  88.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 28.2N  89.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.4N  91.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.9N  93.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 29.5N  96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.5N 100.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  88.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT5+shtml/032031.shtml

A public advisory should be available soon. It would be nice to see some rain out of it.

[PatriotGame]

Looks like "Teh Rove" is testing the latest software release for the VRWC weather control machine.

[Chris_]

Tropical storm forms in oil area of Gulf of Mexico

MIAMI (Reuters) - The fifth tropical storm of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season formed near a major oil and gas producing area of the northern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.

Tropical Storm Edouard, located around 95 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River by 6 p.m. EDT, was expected to come ashore at close to hurricane strength in a few days on the Texas coast, the Miami-based hurricane center said.

One of the computer models used to predict storm paths and intensities indicated Edouard could become a hurricane, with winds in excess of 74 miles per hour (119 km per hour), the hurricane center said. But its official forecast called for Edouard to top out at 60 knots, or 69 mph (111 kph).

[Lord Undies]

Hit Texas and....

Go north, young storm.





**No kidding.  This could be a big break.  Not all storms are bad things.

[Miss Mia]

Hit Texas and....

Go north, young storm.





**No kidding.  This could be a big break.  Not all storms are bad things.

I was thinking the same thing Undies.  Please, send rain up here. 

[TheSarge]

Looks like "Teh Rove" is testing the latest software release for the VRWC weather control machine.

VRWC is switching to Macs for reliability purposes so TD5 is a Beta test of the new software.

[Chris_]

Looks like a potential direct hit. Maybe it will send all the gangbangers back to NOLA.

[Ptarmigan]

We all need the rain.

[Thor]

109 degrees in Texomaland today. No significant rainfall in a month.....