The Conservative Cave
Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: pjcomix on September 06, 2021, 09:34:35 AM
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On September 5, 2021 a black swan appeared in Beijing's Tiananmen Square and attracted a lot of attention as you can see. Does this very rare appearance of a black swan in the very center of China portend a Black Swan event? By strange coincidence, on the very same day the black swan appeared in Tiananmen Square, a fascinating documentary about Black Swan Events, "The Worst Kind of Surprise: Black Swan Theory," was uploaded to YouTube. You can see a few excerpts of it in this video but I highly recommend you watch the entire documentary in the link below.
"The Worst Kind of Surprise: Black Swan Theory"
https://youtu.be/12y2P-kBkAk
https://youtu.be/Pw5AJQgDeQQ (https://youtu.be/Pw5AJQgDeQQ)
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Beijing is "in the very center of China"? On what map? Xian or Xining would be much closer to the "very center of China", and hundreds of miles west of Beijing.
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Beijing is "in the very center of China"? On what map? Xian or Xining would be much closer to the "very center of China", and hundreds of miles west of Beijing.
Perhaps it's metaphorical.
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https://youtu.be/Pw5AJQgDeQQ (https://youtu.be/Pw5AJQgDeQQ)
OK. What is a Black Swan Event?
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OK. What is a Black Swan Event?
IIRC, prior to their discovery in Australia, black swans had never been observed and were considered non-existent. After that discovery, "black swan" came to be a metaphor for something so rare it was considered almost impossible.
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Well, better a Black Swan in China than on Wall Street.
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Well, better a Black Swan in China than on Wall Street.
Just pray nobody tries to eat the damned thing. Dog only know what diseases will go shotgunning through the world if they do. [/sarc]