Author Topic: Latest changes in predictions.  (Read 1653 times)

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Offline Carl

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Latest changes in predictions.
« on: October 21, 2010, 12:13:16 PM »
http://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings_updates

Quote
Latest Ratings Changes

Below are the 25 most recent race ratings updates from The Cook Political Report.
MASSACHUSETTS | District 10: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
KANSAS | District 3: Lean Republican to Likely Republican (10/20/10)
ILLINOIS | District 10: Toss Up to Lean Democrat (10/20/10)
FLORIDA | District 12: Likely Republican to Lean Republican (10/20/10)
ARIZONA | District 3: Likely Republican to Lean Republican (10/20/10)
TENNESSEE | District 4: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
PENNSYLVANIA | District 4: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat (10/20/10)
OHIO | District 6: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
NEW YORK | District 22: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat (10/20/10)
NEW YORK | District 20: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
NEW HAMPSHIRE | District 1: Toss Up to Lean Republican (10/20/10)
MISSISSIPPI | District 4: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
MISSOURI | District 4: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
MISSOURI | District 3: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat (10/20/10)
MINNESOTA | District 8: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat (10/20/10)
IOWA | District 2: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat (10/20/10)
IOWA | District 1: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat (10/20/10)
INDIANA | District 2: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
FLORIDA | District 22: Lean Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
ARIZONA | District 7: Likely Democrat to Toss Up (10/20/10)
ALABAMA | Governor: Lean Republican to Likely Republican (10/14/10)
SOUTH CAROLINA | Governor: Likely Republican to Lean Republican (10/14/10)
MICHIGAN | Governor: Lean Republican to Likely Republican (10/14/10)
NEVADA | Governor: Toss Up to Likely Republican (10/14/10)
TEXAS | District 27: Solid Democrat to Likely Democrat (10/11/10)

 :cheersmate:

Offline BlueStateSaint

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Re: Latest changes in predictions.
« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2010, 02:21:18 PM »
Neighbor, I want to see NY-20 go to us . . . obviously . . . but it might be 5-6 points. :cheersmate:
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Offline Wretched Excess

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Re: Latest changes in predictions.
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2010, 03:00:21 PM »
I know that the cook report is the gold standard for this sort of thing, but a lot of this just doesn't make sense.

Quote
NEVADA | Governor: Toss Up to Likely Republican (10/14/10)
rasmussen has had this at GOP blowout proportions for over a month.

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SOUTH CAROLINA | Governor: Likely Republican to Lean Republican (10/14/10)
I live in SC, and the only way Niki Haley loses this election is if an alien being bursts out of her chest.  and then she would only lose if it actually killed her.

and that is just from a glance.

Offline miskie

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Re: Latest changes in predictions.
« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2010, 05:29:48 PM »
although Cook Political is a fairly good source, I fully expect the remaining days to be filled with 'news' about a massive Democrat vote surge - for two reasons;

A ) depress conservative turnout.
B ) lay necessary groundwork for the coming challenges and lawsuits.

Offline Wretched Excess

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Re: Latest changes in predictions.
« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2010, 08:10:58 PM »
although Cook Political is a fairly good source, I fully expect the remaining days to be filled with 'news' about a massive Democrat vote surge - for two reasons;

A ) depress conservative turnout.
B ) lay necessary groundwork for the coming challenges and lawsuits.

 . . . and don't forget about the "excitement" that the MSM will be reporting at every event (that is conveniently followed by a rock concert) that features a speech by obama.  the point of the story will be, "look at the adoring masses of people!  they are so excited". :thatsright:

blah, blah.  half of them are there for the band that follows the speech. ::)