Politico: 99 Dem House seats in danger

[Chris_]

With two weeks remaining until Election Day, the political map has expanded to put Democrats on the run across the country – with 99 Democratic-held House seats now in play, according to a POLITICO analysis, and Republicans well in reach of retaking the House.

Today, however, the non-partisan Cook Political Report predicts a GOP net gain of at least 40 House seats, with 90 Democratic seats in total rated as competitive or likely Republican.

While the level of competitiveness among the 99 seats varies widely, they share a common denominator: all of them show some serious sign of vulnerability to takeover by the GOP. Factors included a Democratic incumbent’s unpopular legislative votes, the quality of opposition, the partisan breakdown of the districts or the huge sums of money dedicated to Democratic defeat—or some combination of all those factors—to place them “in play” ahead of Nov. 2.

The subjectivity of those factors have led to varying interpretations of just how many seats are actually at risk for Democrats. The Rothenberg Report, another political handicapper, lists 91 Democratic-held seats as in play, and predicts the “extremely large field of competitive races” will produce a “likely Republican gain of 40-50 seats, with 60 seats possible.”

Politico

[Texacon]

Any Democrats want to come over here and tell me how popular the Health Care Bill was again??

KC

[GOP Congress]

From my prediction back in June:

http://www.conservativecave.com/index.php/topic,45141.msg494468.html#msg494468

House: Republicans control the House with 259 seats, Democrats 166. I will give the Dems the vacancies for now.
Senate: Republicans control the Senate with 57 seats, Democrats 42, with 1 indy (Lieberman). (Depends on Sanders' decision as well)

I not only stand by it, but I also will emphasize that it's not just about winning seats. I consider RINO's as non-conservatives, the only thing they are good for is defense. But in my opinion, a more correct measurement of the balance of Congress is actually Conservative/Libertarians vs RINOS/Democrats/Socialists. The fulcrum should be adjusted accordingly.

{{NOTE to Texacon: 1977-1980, HHC DISCOM, 82nd Abn. Div.: All the way and then some, sir! Airborne!}}

[Wretched Excess]

NRO says it's more like 117 seats that are in play

[JohnnyReb]

NRO says it's more like 117 seats that are in play

Now if they could hold what they've got and add 117 seats, THAT would be a majority.

...and I wouldn't even care if Nancy P. got reelected. As a matter of fact, I'd love to see her boney, botoxed ass sitting in the cheap seats...... ....what a come down that would be for her.

[Wretched Excess]

anything over 60 is a blowout.  anything over 70 is a huge blowout.  anything over 80 is an historic blowout.  beyond that, and the english language begins to run out adjectives.

I think that the beta male, the militant lesbian, and the orange dude over on PMSNBC will all need the suicide hotline number on election night.

[Ralph Wiggum]

This site shows 112 seats in play:

HOUSE
168 Solid Republican
27 Leaning Republican

155 Solid Democrat
48 Leaning Democrat

37 Toss-ups

For the Senate:

46 Solid and Continuing Democrat Seats (Includes Sanders & Joe-mentum)
35 Solid and Continuing Republican Seats
8 Leaning Republican
3 Leaning Democrat
8 Toss-ups

Yeah, it's the NY Times, but the guy who runs this page is quite a mathematician.

[Texacon]

{{NOTE to Texacon: 1977-1980, HHC DISCOM, 82nd Abn. Div.: All the way and then some, sir! Airborne!}}

Outstanding!  Hooah!!

KC

[Boudicca]

anything over 60 is a blowout.  anything over 70 is a huge blowout.  anything over 80 is an historic blowout.  beyond that, and the english language begins to run out adjectives.

I think that the beta male, the militant lesbian, and the orange dude over on PMSNBC will all need the suicide hotline number on election night.

Nah, they'll have to stifle their tears, man up and open the phones to soothe suicidal callers.  As for the orange dude, the tingle up his leg was replaced awhile back with a trickle down the same leg as he contemplates how stupid he looks now for verbally fellating teh Won.