« previous next »
Pages: [1]   Go Down

Author Topic: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?  (Read 1022 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline dutch508

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12522
  • Reputation: +1647/-1068
  • Remember
UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« on: December 12, 2019, 09:25:47 PM »
Quote
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100212776606

UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
Last edited Thu Dec 12, 2019, 09:19 PM - Edit history (9)

I get it, they haven't been off by more than 5 seats since they were put in use. But the turnout was unprecedented at historic proportions. Could that effect the accuracy of the exit polls, assuming the formulas were based on previous election turnout?

Holding out hope with a hopeless outcome.

Edit: Early counting shows labour with 36 seats to tory's 32, SNP 3,dup 1 PC 1

 :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf:

Quote
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)

2. It feels a little bit like it did for us in 2016:

The candidate that wasnt supposed to win was winning from the very beginning. Hope that holds out the end!

Quote
Star Member octoberlib (11,029 posts)

3. From what I'm seeing on Twitter, it's worse.

 :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf:

Quote
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)

4. Are the seats being called for Tory, ones that shouldn't have??

Quote
Star Member octoberlib (11,029 posts)

6. Yep. A journalist got a text from a Labour politician saying they’d lost a traditional Labor stronghold by the name of Redcar. Labor supporters in the North flipped to the Brexit Party.

 :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao:

Quote
Star Member marlakay (6,548 posts)

9. Just talked to my friend in Belfast

She said the people in England are too stupid to be allowed to vote. I said sounds like a bunch in my country.

 :whatever:

Quote
abqtommy (2,027 posts)

13. What are the chances that the vote wasn't tampered with? asking for a friend

I have no doubt the Liberals cheated like crazy.

Quote
Amishman (1,859 posts)

15. looking to be much worse than predicted

An acquaintance in England is giving me occasional updates. Their media is stunned and calling a conservative landslide. He mentioned Darlington as a traditional Labour stronghold that appears to be flipping and thought of as previously unthinkable.

He is saying that their odd first past the post system is resulting in seats disproportionate to the Tories actual percentage of support from the overall populace. He also said that Corbyn is extremely unpopular personally and proposed too much nationalization at a time which things that are already nationalized do not work well. Also that those who have mixed feelings towards brexit (which is apparently fairly common) are skewing hard for the conservatives as they believe the government should honor the brexit vote from a few years ago.

Sounds like a combination of bad issues specific to their political situation

 :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf:

Quote
Star Member mia (6,556 posts)

16. Does Putin pee in the UK plains?

Elections everywhere can be compromised.

 :thatsright:

Quote
Star Member brooklynite (56,452 posts)

18. Actual vote tallies: Conservative +2%; Labour -10%

Reality sucks, but fantasy conspiracy theories are worse...

Quote
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)

20. What conspiracy theories?

Labour's getting their asses handed to them as projected.

Yes. Lie to the people continually, treat them like shit, lie some more, call then all racists for not letting the shitholes of the world dump their trash into your cities, lie some more, arrest citizens for making a joke, lie and lie and lie... and maybe the people won't like you much = Stunned DUmpmonkiez.

 :loser:
Logged
The torch of moral clarity since 12/18/07

2016 DOTY: 06 Omaha Steve - Is dying for ****'s face! How could you not vote for him, you heartless bastards!?!

Offline USA4ME

  • Evil Capitalist
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14580
  • Reputation: +2283/-76
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2019, 09:46:02 PM »
Amazing! Liberals have gone to great lengths over the years to promote themselves as the champions of the working class over multi-national corps. Brexit is a clear example of the working people deciding they didn't want to become servants to the EU, and the primitives chose the multi-nationals over people because they want the UK Labour Party over the Tories. They have no principles or allegiance except to root for their team regardless of the positions they hold.

.
Logged
Because third world peasant labor is a good thing.

Offline Ralph Wiggum

  • It's unpossible that I'm a
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 18564
  • Reputation: +2043/-49
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2019, 10:14:36 PM »
Schadenboner status...still looking perky.
Logged
Voted hottest "chick" at CU - My hotness transcends gender

Offline Zathras

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3403
  • Reputation: +455/-71
  • This is the way.
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2019, 12:52:29 AM »
Quote
Star Member marlakay (6,548 posts)

9. Just talked to my friend in Belfast

She said the people in England are too stupid to be allowed to vote. I said sounds like a bunch in my country.

Yeah. Here in America we call them Liberals, Progressives and Democrats.
Logged
Solve a man's problem with violence and help him for a day. Teach a man how to solve his problems with violence, help him for a lifetime - Belkar Bitterleaf

If racist dog whistles are meant to be only heard by racists, then it is quite interesting how progressives seem to be the only people who can hear them. - Leonydus Johnson

What makes a good soldier? The ability to fire 3 rounds a minute in any weather. - Major Richard Sharpe

Offline 67 Rover

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5762
  • Reputation: +1222/-41
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2019, 07:43:41 AM »
Quote from: USA4ME on December 12, 2019, 09:46:02 PM
Amazing! Liberals have gone to great lengths over the years to promote themselves as the champions of the working class over multi-national corps. Brexit is a clear example of the working people deciding they didn't want to become servants to the EU, and the primitives chose the multi-nationals over people because they want the UK Labour Party over the Tories. They have no principles or allegiance except to root for their team regardless of the positions they hold.

.

Meh, the UK Labour party just needs a name change like the progressives, democrats, socialists ,liberals socialist democrats etc. here in the U.S. oh and don't forget to lie about what you really stand for at least until you win the election.
Logged
NRA Benefactor member
G.O.A. Life member
G.O.A.L. Life member
Certified Law Enforcement Sig Armorer

Offline DLR Pyro

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 9234
  • Reputation: +1418/-29
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2019, 07:57:17 AM »
Quote
Star Member mia (6,556 posts)

16. Does Putin pee in the UK plains?

Elections everywhere can be compromised.

And there it is folks.  Russia interfered again, this time to thwart the DUmmie's utopia plans for the UK.



Logged
Biden is an illegitimate President.  Change my mind.

Police lives matter.

Basking in the glow of my white privilege

ProudDad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Wed Mar-09-11 08:50 PM
64.I'd almost be willing to get a job in order to participate in
A NATIONAL GENERAL STRIKE   https://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4763020

Offline FiddyBeowulf

  • "Its on, its off, its on, its off." "That is called blinking, boys."
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5271
  • Reputation: +523/-34
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #6 on: December 13, 2019, 08:13:54 AM »
Quote from: DLR Pyro on December 13, 2019, 07:57:17 AM
And there it is folks.  Russia interfered again, this time to thwart the DUmmie's utopia plans for the UK.




Hillary is making that claim already.
Logged
Fire...BAD!!! - John Fetterman


The policies that are indorsed by this party, that they backer of which are much of the 1 percent, causes a social structure much like the one back before the Revolution.

-Words of wisdom from Lady Freedom Returns

"Arguing with liberals...it's like playing chess with a pigeon; no matter how good I am at chess, the pigeon is just going to knock over the pieces, crap on the board and strut around like it's victorious." -- Anonymous

"A hat should be taken off when you greet a lady and left off for the rest of your life. Nothing looks more stupid than a hat." - P. J. O'Rourke

Offline SVPete

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 25915
  • Reputation: +2236/-242
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #7 on: December 13, 2019, 08:38:15 AM »
Logged
If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"? Is reality a Big Pharma Shill?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline ADsOutburst

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4573
  • Reputation: +1214/-12
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #8 on: December 13, 2019, 09:25:57 AM »
Quote
UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
Quote
What are the chances that the vote wasn't tampered with? asking for a friend
Quote
Does Putin pee in the UK plains?

Elections everywhere can be compromised.
« Last Edit: December 13, 2019, 10:21:30 AM by ADsOutburst »
Logged

Offline 67 Rover

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5762
  • Reputation: +1222/-41
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #9 on: December 13, 2019, 09:43:50 AM »
Quote from: DLR Pyro on December 13, 2019, 07:57:17 AM
And there it is folks.  Russia interfered again, this time to thwart the DUmmie's utopia plans for the UK.

I am beginning to think Johnathan Gruber was correct when he made his infamous comment .  :(
Logged
NRA Benefactor member
G.O.A. Life member
G.O.A.L. Life member
Certified Law Enforcement Sig Armorer

Offline jukin

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 15747
  • Reputation: +1722/-170
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #10 on: December 13, 2019, 01:09:16 PM »
Quote from: Ralph Wiggum on December 12, 2019, 10:14:36 PM
Schadenboner status...still looking perky.

My schadenboner has a ten second radio delay.
Logged
When you are the beneficiary of someone’s kindness and generosity, it produces a sense of gratitude and community.

When you are the beneficiary of a policy that steals from someone and gives it to you in return for your vote, it produces a sense of entitlement and dependency.

Offline Wineslob

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14438
  • Reputation: +779/-193
  • Sucking the life out of Liberty
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #11 on: December 13, 2019, 01:33:20 PM »
Still trying to figure out why I should care?
Logged
“The national budget must be balanced. The public debt must be reduced; the arrogance of the authorities must be moderated and controlled. Payments to foreign governments must be reduced, if the nation doesn't want to go bankrupt. People must again learn to work, instead of living on public assistance.”

        -- Marcus Tullius Cicero, 55 BC (106-43 BC)

The unobtainable is unknown at Zombo.com



"Practice random violence and senseless acts of brutality"

If you want a gender neutral bathroom, go pee in the forest.

Offline Ptarmigan

  • Bunny Slayer
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 23588
  • Reputation: +927/-225
  • God Hates Bunnies
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #12 on: December 13, 2019, 06:38:51 PM »
Quote
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100212776606

UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
Last edited Thu Dec 12, 2019, 09:19 PM - Edit history (9)

I get it, they haven't been off by more than 5 seats since they were put in use. But the turnout was unprecedented at historic proportions. Could that effect the accuracy of the exit polls, assuming the formulas were based on previous election turnout?

Holding out hope with a hopeless outcome.

Edit: Early counting shows labour with 36 seats to tory's 32, SNP 3,dup 1 PC 1

Polls are meaningless.
Logged
Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.
-Napoleon Bonaparte

Allow enemies their space to hate; they will destroy themselves in the process.
-Lisa Du

Offline Aristotelian

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1589
  • Reputation: +167/-10
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #13 on: December 15, 2019, 02:44:00 PM »
The unveiling of the exit poll on Channel 4 News in a thing of beauty - they're the worst of the leftist media over here, and seeing the pain on the faces of 'neutral' reporters is just delicious.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n1RB_H8glVg
Logged

Offline Aristotelian

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1589
  • Reputation: +167/-10
Re: UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
« Reply #14 on: December 15, 2019, 02:46:30 PM »
Quote
Star Member marlakay (6,548 posts)

9. Just talked to my friend in Belfast

She said the people in England are too stupid to be allowed to vote. I said sounds like a bunch in my country.

Funnily enough, having good solid working class folk hearing comments like this from the left didn't exactly go down well with them...obviously the leftists need to double down and tell them that they're stupid racists even more.
Logged
Pages: [1]   Go Up
« previous next »