Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100212776606
UK election: What are the chances the exit polls are wrong?
Last edited Thu Dec 12, 2019, 09:19 PM - Edit history (9)
I get it, they haven't been off by more than 5 seats since they were put in use. But the turnout was unprecedented at historic proportions. Could that effect the accuracy of the exit polls, assuming the formulas were based on previous election turnout?
Holding out hope with a hopeless outcome.
Edit: Early counting shows labour with 36 seats to tory's 32, SNP 3,dup 1 PC 1
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)
2. It feels a little bit like it did for us in 2016:
The candidate that wasnt supposed to win was winning from the very beginning. Hope that holds out the end!
Star Member octoberlib (11,029 posts)
3. From what I'm seeing on Twitter, it's worse.
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)
4. Are the seats being called for Tory, ones that shouldn't have??
Star Member octoberlib (11,029 posts)
6. Yep. A journalist got a text from a Labour politician saying they’d lost a traditional Labor stronghold by the name of Redcar. Labor supporters in the North flipped to the Brexit Party.
Star Member marlakay (6,548 posts)
9. Just talked to my friend in Belfast
She said the people in England are too stupid to be allowed to vote. I said sounds like a bunch in my country.
abqtommy (2,027 posts)
13. What are the chances that the vote wasn't tampered with? asking for a friend
I have no doubt the Liberals cheated like crazy.
Amishman (1,859 posts)
15. looking to be much worse than predicted
An acquaintance in England is giving me occasional updates. Their media is stunned and calling a conservative landslide. He mentioned Darlington as a traditional Labour stronghold that appears to be flipping and thought of as previously unthinkable.
He is saying that their odd first past the post system is resulting in seats disproportionate to the Tories actual percentage of support from the overall populace. He also said that Corbyn is extremely unpopular personally and proposed too much nationalization at a time which things that are already nationalized do not work well. Also that those who have mixed feelings towards brexit (which is apparently fairly common) are skewing hard for the conservatives as they believe the government should honor the brexit vote from a few years ago.
Sounds like a combination of bad issues specific to their political situation
Star Member mia (6,556 posts)
16. Does Putin pee in the UK plains?
Elections everywhere can be compromised.
Star Member brooklynite (56,452 posts)
18. Actual vote tallies: Conservative +2%; Labour -10%
Reality sucks, but fantasy conspiracy theories are worse...
Star Member Tiggeroshii (9,185 posts)
20. What conspiracy theories?
Labour's getting their asses handed to them as projected.
Yes. Lie to the people continually, treat them like shit, lie some more, call then all racists for not letting the shitholes of the world dump their trash into your cities, lie some more, arrest citizens for making a joke, lie and lie and lie... and maybe the people won't like you much = Stunned DUmpmonkiez.