As I understand Gallup, that's an "independent" pollster as well. Or is he? I've seen Gallup polls presented in the alphabet press (which is tantamount to saying it's liberal as hell), but my vibe is they've got a decent reputation.
Gallup is the oldest polling organization in the US, and they "used" to be independent, until they teamed with CNN, and the New York Times. When you study their methodology, they use "tried and true" techniques, however the internals will show the consistent overpolling of Democrats, and their calling samples are heavily weighted to northeastern areas........I can't remember the last time that the internals for a Gallup/CNN poll showed a significant sampling percentage in the midwest or south (unless they were polling a single state or area).
It is naive to believe that the folks that are actually PAYING for the pollster's work not to have an influence on either the way the questions are worded (critical to the outcome), or the area and day of the week that the survey is conducted. For example: If you want to slant a poll toward a liberal result, you will conduct the survey on the weekend........conservatives are out doing something with their families, but the welfare queens are sitting at home watching "American Idol" reruns, or even more blatant, conduct the survey during the week, but only during working hours......that way the only folks at home are either unemployed, or unemployable,,,,,,,,therefore skewing the outcome.
That is why it is important to read the "internals" which all reputable pollsters will publish, that way you can determine the "skew" for yourself, and the overall validity of the poll.
You will remember that during the Clinton administration the Monica scandal, through impeachment, and all the way to the day that he walked out of the White House, he polled at a 60% job approval rating......
I don't believe that for a minute......it was all ginned up by the media organizations to make Bubba look like he was a victim. I have a low confidence level in any poll that is sponsored by any of the MSM organizations, as I believe that they are only done to provide "talking points" for the news cycle........not reliable information for the public.
doc