IMHO, I think the Turtle set up the Dems for a colossal meltdown.
We'll see it in early December. And unless the Turtle reneges (entirely possible, as I don't trust the bastard either), Schumer has a 564-ton pile of shit in his lap to contend with.
And it's entirely on the Dems. No Repub support.
I could be wrong, but I think it's a masterful political move, one that sets up Chuck the Schmuck in a way that wouldn't be obvious any other way.
First of all, you can't trust Manchin. He's a snake. He says one thing but does another. He says he wants to save the filibuster, but do you really trust what this asshole says? Not me. I think Sinema has more balls than Manchin ever THOUGHT about having, and she swings both ways.
Second, it's entirely possible that Chuck the Schmuck - with his back against the wall - torpedoes the filibuster. Of course, the reconciliation process pretty much negates the filibuster anyway, and the Murder Turtle - in recognizing that - set up The Schmuck such that he's ---
All. On. His. Own.
This could be all toast, but you can't count The Murder Turtle out. He's a masterful politician, though it pains me to say that.