Author Topic: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)  (Read 4616 times)

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Offline 98ZJUSMC

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At a weighting of....wait for it, now:


D +11!!!!!111!!nty

Latest CNN National Poll thread

 :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf:  :hyper: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

Link to FR thread. I refuse to link to garbage.
              

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Offline docstew

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2012, 08:37:12 PM »
If you're gonna go D+11, why not just do a D+20 poll and get the result you really want?

Lazy liberals again, cutting corners instead of doing the work to get what they want.

Offline Chris_

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2012, 08:43:25 PM »
I can't get the FR link to come up.  Here's Jim Hoft's story at Gateway Pundit.
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Offline Mr Mannn

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2012, 08:52:47 PM »
The bias is just sad. The Regan Carter polls showed a dead heat all the way to the end too.

The only upside to blatant pollster lies is the screams of horrified surprise from DUmmies. Well, that and Chris Matthews crying like a baby

Offline Jasonw560

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2012, 08:55:16 PM »
The bias is just sad. The Regan Carter polls showed a dead heat all the way to the end too.

The only upside to blatant pollster lies is the screams of horrified surprise from DUmmies. Well, that and Chris Matthews crying like a baby biotch

FIFY
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Offline docstew

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2012, 08:57:05 PM »
After reading the link that Chris_ posted, there's good news. One, they undersampled R's by at least 9 points for the way turnout will actually happen. Two, assuming that all the R's and D's voted along party lines, independents are breaking 80% Romney to 20% for O.

Offline Zeus

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2012, 09:16:10 PM »
Statistical dead heat with a heavy democrat weighting.  The main scream polls still not willing to project Romney in the lead but are starting to hedge their bets in an attempt to maintain any crumb of credibility they may still possess.

Mr.Mannn is correct It's 1980 all over again.
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Offline pandric

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2012, 10:42:13 PM »
If you're gonna go D+11, why not just do a D+20 poll and get the result you really want?

Lazy liberals again, cutting corners instead of doing the work to get what they want.

Pollsters don't "do" a party ID sample. Pollsters weight only on stuff that's in the census (race, age, etc.) The party sample (D+ whatever number) is what comes out of the poll questions. If CNN asked people whether they are D or R, the result cannot be changed because it didn't please you.

Offline Mr Mannn

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2012, 02:16:44 AM »
Sorry pandrick, you are a proven troll. Your word means nothing.

Offline wasp69

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 06:55:41 AM »
Pollsters don't "do" a party ID sample. Pollsters weight only on stuff that's in the census (race, age, etc.) The party sample (D+ whatever number) is what comes out of the poll questions. If CNN asked people whether they are D or R, the result cannot be changed because it didn't please you.

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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2012, 07:38:58 AM »
With it being a D+11 poll and them being tied; that really means that Romney is 6+ points ahead. obama is done .. Wow..

Offline Wineslob

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2012, 09:51:30 AM »
But, but, Nate Silver says Romney's toast, this has legs!!!      :panic:
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2012, 10:22:04 AM »
CNN just said the reason the poll is a D+11 is because it wouldn't make it a tie. Making it lower would make Romney way ahead. Just like stated before, they are trying to make this look like a win for obama.

Offline BigTex

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2012, 10:24:06 AM »
CNN just said the reason the poll is a D+11 is because it wouldn't make it a tie. Making it lower would make Romney way ahead. Just like stated before, they are trying to make this look like a win for obama.

Link? or did they say it on TV?
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2012, 10:56:30 AM »
Link? or did they say it on TV?

They said it on TV...

Offline Eupher

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2012, 10:58:05 AM »
Pollsters don't "do" a party ID sample. Pollsters weight only on stuff that's in the census (race, age, etc.) The party sample (D+ whatever number) is what comes out of the poll questions. If CNN asked people whether they are D or R, the result cannot be changed because it didn't please you.

Are you saying that pollsters can't or won't sample based on the attribute of a person's political party affiliation? AYFKM??

Never mind -- don't bother answering. Just do us a favor and show up here tomorrow night, as wasp69 suggests.  :evillaugh:

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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2012, 10:59:35 AM »
Pollsters don't "do" a party ID sample. Pollsters weight only on stuff that's in the census (race, age, etc.) The party sample (D+ whatever number) is what comes out of the poll questions. If CNN asked people whether they are D or R, the result cannot be changed because it didn't please you.

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« Last Edit: November 05, 2012, 11:34:16 AM by Kyle Ricky »

Offline Chris_

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Re: CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49%)
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2012, 11:13:07 AM »
From page 29, in big letters for pandric...

Among those likely voters, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans.
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