https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/the-new-york-times-shows-that-joe-biden-has-an-open-lane-to-the-democratic-nomination/ Well, too bad for the Bernie brats; they might as well pack up their tents and join the caravan.
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The New York Times Shows that Joe Biden Has an Open Lane to the Democratic Nomination
I go back and forth on Joe Biden’s chances at the Democratic nomination. On the one hand, we’ve seen him run two primary campaigns, and they both ended badly. Moreover, given the hard left turn of the much of the modern Democratic party, he could find himself constantly on the defensive about his long record in Washington. He voted for the Iraq War. His past tough-on-crime past could haunt him. And he’s got that embarrassing sniffing/kissing/hugging habit.
But on the other hand, what if the universal, hard left turn by virtually every other candidate opens up a center-left superhighway to the nomination? Most of the other candidates are vying for the attention and love of the Online Left, but there’s an entire other Democratic party out there — the majority of the party that doesn’t live on social media. Over at the New York Times, Nate Cohn and Kevin Quealy have put together a fascinating interactive piece that separates the Democratic electorate into two large groups, Democrats on social media and Democrats off social media.....
Today’s Democratic Party is increasingly perceived as dominated by its “woke” left wing.
But the views of Democrats on social media often bear little resemblance to those of the wider Democratic electorate. The outspoken group of Democratic-leaning voters on social media is outnumbered, roughly 2 to 1, by the more moderate, more diverse and less educated group of Democrats who typically don’t post political content online, according to data from the Hidden Tribes Project. This latter group has the numbers to decide the Democratic presidential nomination in favor of a relatively moderate establishment favorite, as it has often done in the past.
The statistics are fascinating. Only 29 percent of
online Democrats call themselves moderate or conservative compared to 53 percent of
offline Democrats. The large majority of offline Democrats think political correctness is a problem.
Online Democrats are whiter, more liberal, and more likely to give money to candidates and attend a protest. In other words — and this should shock exactly no one —
Twitter users aren’t a representative slice of Democrats as a group.....